Visualizing the Sweet 16

Posted by on March 26, 2013

The following is a visualization of the teams and top players remaining in the Sweet 16. All statistics are full season averages (the last two games included):   1. Adjusted efficiency of remaining teams per kenpom.com     2. Adjusted tempo of remaining teams per kenpom.com     3. The offensive and defensive four factors… Read more »


Shabazz’s Rebounding

Posted by on March 24, 2013

Shabazz Muhammad’s season ended on Friday at the hands of Minnesota. The Bruins had two big things working against them: the injury to Jordan Adams and the task of keeping Minnesota off the boards. The Golden Gophers are first in the country in offensive rebound percentage, grabbing 44% of their missed shots. On the other… Read more »


High Usage, Go-To Guys Against Syracuse

Posted by on March 19, 2013

As a diehard Syracuse fan, I have always wondered how opponents’ go-to players perform against the Orange relative to other games and teams.  Does the vaunted 2-3 zone really make a difference in that respect?  With the help of kenpom.com, I set out to examine whether a significant difference exists between go-to players’ performance against… Read more »


Final Four Values

Posted by on March 19, 2013

The running narrative for the NCAA this season has been all about the parity at the top. Yet here we are in mid March and despite “the field being wide open”, everyone is taking Louisville. Now I’m not saying this is a bad idea. Louisville may end up cutting down the nets in Atlanta. However,… Read more »


Finding an Upset: Three Pointers

Posted by on March 18, 2013

Every year in the NCAA tournament, inferior team beat superior teams. Norfolk State was not a better team than Missouri, they just scored more points over a 40 minute period. The cause behind these upsets is variability. It’s no shocking revelation that three point shots increase variability. The three point shot has long been known as a… Read more »


The Selection Committee’s Tendencies

Posted by on March 17, 2013

Tomorrow is selection Sunday, the day bracketology ceases to matter. Personally, I have never really been into dissecting resumes for the bubble teams. Still, I decided to take a look at some of the committee’s tendencies between 2006-2012. I think this information is probably more interesting than insightful, as the committee’s decisions have a human… Read more »


Summit League Championship Preview

Posted by on March 12, 2013

Tonight in the battle for the Dakotas, Nate Wolters will attempt to get back to the NCAA tournament one more time for his senior season. The 24-8 North Dakota State Bison stand in his way. Both teams are dominant on one side of the ball. SDSU is ranked first in the Summit League in offensive… Read more »


Minnesota and Rebounds: The Art of Cherry Picking

Posted by on March 8, 2013

Last month, I looked at Bucknell and turnovers in college basketball strategy. Another interesting team in the 2013 season has been Tubby Smith’s Minnesota team. The Golden Gophers rolled through non conference play, but are just 8-9 in the Big Ten. Despite the struggles, Minnesota is still 16th in efficiency in the country largely due to… Read more »


Quantifying Carrick Felix’s Defense

Posted by on March 6, 2013

Arizona State, picked to finish 11th in the Pac-12 preseason poll, has been a pleasant surprise this year. Currently they are right on the outside looking in at the bubble, but just about no one thought they would be in this position entering the season. Last month, I received an email from Arizona State’s assistant coach… Read more »


End of Game Execution

Posted by on March 4, 2013

Over the weekend, I tweeted about late game execution in the NBA versus the NCAA. It seemed like this weekend especially, coaches were unable to help their teams execute down the stretch to win close games. We saw this in the Michigan-Michigan State game, but also in many games across the country. The two I picked… Read more »