NCAA Tournament Narratives: Defense Wins Championship

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The following is part of a series of NCAA tournament posts. You can find the intro to the series here.   Narrative: Defense wins championships.   In order to win a basketball game, you simply have to score more points than the other team. You do this through the combination of offense and defense. Some… Read more »

NCAA Tournament Narratives: March Momentum

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The following is part of a series of NCAA tournament posts. You can find the intro to the series here.   Narrative: Late season results are more important than early season.   Teams around the country are going to get “hot” every March. That’s just the nature of the single elimination conference tournament. One team… Read more »

NCAA Tournament Narratives: Road Wins

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The following is part of a series of NCAA tournament posts. You can find the intro to the series here.   Narrative: Road results are more important than home results.   If you go back to the intro post, I mentioned how an NCAA tournament game isn’t completely equal to a regular season game. Sometimes… Read more »

2014 NCAA Final Four Values

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Last year, I wrote about the idea of finding value in your NCAA bracket. The larger your tournament pool, the more important “value” becomes. That means not only picking who has the best chance of winning, but also considering who everyone else is going to pick. You can get three Final Four teams right, but… Read more »

Teams to Avoid on Selection Sunday

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With 20 days left until Selection Sunday, online bracketology is slowly becoming more relevant. It’s also that time of year where announcers end their broadcast with a classic warning for future opponents of the winning team in said broadcast. “You don’t want to see your name near Team X in March.” Of course, the tournament… Read more »

Game Strategy: Late Game Defense

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This is the second Game Strategy post, where I breakdown highly specific scenarios where optimal strategy only increases win probability marginally. The first one can be found here.   Texas A&M led Vanderbilt 47-43 with 27 seconds left yesterday on the road. According to the KenPom win probability calculator, that scenario gives the Aggies a… Read more »

Quick Hitters: Wisconsin and UC Santa Barbara

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This fourth installment of Quick Hitters is noticeably missing a quick hitter breakdown entirely. Expect more in the near future, but for now you can check out past installments here.     1. Nigel Hayes makes it four games in a row in double figures for Wisconsin.   The Wisconsin freshman scored 15 points in… Read more »

2014 In Season Improvement

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Earlier in the season, Dan Hanner wrote about in season improvement. Hanner took a look at coaches who tend to get more out of their teams as the season progresses. With most teams about halfway through conference play, we can begin to take a look at teams on the rise (and decline) this season.   I decided to… Read more »

Quick Hitters: Iowa, Memphis, Hawaii

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1. Iowa quick hitter to end first half vs. Michigan.   Roy Devyn Marble lit Michigan up from behind the arc in the first half yesterday. So it wasn’t a huge surprise when Fran McCaffery called for a Marble three to end the half, but the play worked anyway.           Here’s… Read more »