2015 NCAA Final Four Values

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The last two years I have looked at the concept of finding value in your NCAA bracket. The idea is to not only pick the teams with the best chance of winning, but also the teams being undervalued in your pool. You can find the 2013 version here and the 2014 version here.   The… Read more »

Villanova’s (Not So?) Balanced Offense

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Villanova is comfortably a top 10 team in the country for the second season in a row. The Wildcats are 53-7 since the start of last season despite their supposed lack of a superstar. Watch any game the team has played in this season and you are sure to hear the announcers raving about the… Read more »

2015 In Season Improvement

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It might be hard to imagine right now considering all of their recent success, but in late December last season Virginia fell outside the kenpom top 40 thanks to a 35-point loss at Tennessee. In fact, Virginia really struggled throughout November and December of last season. By February Tony Bennett’s team was one of the most… Read more »

D’Angelo Russell, Jahlil Okafor, and the Average Freshman

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With the current one-and-done system, top freshman prospects become some of the most talented players in the NCAA every season. This season is no exception with D’Angelo Russell and Jahlil Okafor. Both currently sit at the top of mock drafts  and have had little trouble adjusting to the level of competition the Big Ten and… Read more »

Iowa State and Rim Protection

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Since his arrival in Ames prior to the 2010-11 season, Fred Hoiberg has received a lot of respect for the job he’s done with Iowa State. Under Hoiberg, the Cyclones have become an offensive powerhouse that both plays uptempo and scores with efficiency. This style of play makes Iowa State a must-watch team. Hoiberg is… Read more »

Do Matchups Matter? (Part 3 – Press Teams)

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The last two seasons I’ve tried to take a look at “opponent compatibility” and how matchups affect game outcomes. My first attempt broadly concluded: “the best way to predict the winner of a game appears to be just picking the better of the two teams“. Last year I put a whole bunch of different ideas… Read more »

The Oklahoma Defense: Breaking Down the Sooners’ Improvement

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Oklahoma is currently one of the best examples in the country of something I’ve wrote about here quite a bit: Experienced teams (surprisingly) struggle to get better on both sides of the ball. The Sooners ended 2013-14 with the 16th ranked offense and 91st ranked defense in the country by adjusted efficiency. The off-season focus obviously… Read more »

The Difference Between NCAA and NBA Offenses

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Nitpicking the number two ranked offense in the entire country feels wrong. Duke has scored over one point per possession in all but one game this season (UConn on a neutral floor). In yesterday’s loss at North Carolina State, Duke’s defense was the clear problem. NC State scored 1.24 points per possession. Duke didn’t light… Read more »

System Coaching (Part 1 – Intro)

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Many college coaches are known for their unique offensive and defensive systems. Year after year these coaches plug new players into their pre-existing style of play. Obviously, these coaches have the luxury of years of experience in teaching and perfecting the way their teams play. This experience in teaching a certain way might even be more… Read more »