A Few Parting Thoughts on FGCU

Posted by

Florida Gulf Coast University captivated the nation en route to being the first ever 15 seed to go to the Sweet 16.  A conversation I had a while back with Iona College assistant coach Zak Boisvert, piqued my interest in wanting to look into the numbers about tempo and its effect on win percentage.  In… Read more »

Davante Gardner: Zone Buster

Posted by

Syracuse’s 2-3 zone last night looked invincible versus the number one offense in the country. Indiana had scored more points per possession than their opponents (on average) give up in every game this season until Temple and Syracuse. Syracuse’s defensive dominance had people wondering why a team would play anything other than zone. I went back… Read more »

Indiana’s Weakness

Posted by

If you were to force me to pick a team I think is going to win it all, I would likely take Indiana. On the Sweet 16 efficiency graph, the Hoosiers have the best offense of anyone and an average defense (relative to the other 15 teams). C.J. Moore pointed out recently that the Hoosiers’ weakness… Read more »

Visualizing the Sweet 16

Posted by

The following is a visualization of the teams and top players remaining in the Sweet 16. All statistics are full season averages (the last two games included):   1. Adjusted efficiency of remaining teams per kenpom.com     2. Adjusted tempo of remaining teams per kenpom.com     3. The offensive and defensive four factors… Read more »

Shabazz’s Rebounding

Posted by

Shabazz Muhammad’s season ended on Friday at the hands of Minnesota. The Bruins had two big things working against them: the injury to Jordan Adams and the task of keeping Minnesota off the boards. The Golden Gophers are first in the country in offensive rebound percentage, grabbing 44% of their missed shots. On the other… Read more »

High Usage, Go-To Guys Against Syracuse

Posted by

As a diehard Syracuse fan, I have always wondered how opponents’ go-to players perform against the Orange relative to other games and teams.  Does the vaunted 2-3 zone really make a difference in that respect?  With the help of kenpom.com, I set out to examine whether a significant difference exists between go-to players’ performance against… Read more »

Final Four Values

Posted by

The running narrative for the NCAA this season has been all about the parity at the top. Yet here we are in mid March and despite “the field being wide open”, everyone is taking Louisville. Now I’m not saying this is a bad idea. Louisville may end up cutting down the nets in Atlanta. However,… Read more »

Finding an Upset: Three Pointers

Posted by

Every year in the NCAA tournament, inferior team beat superior teams. Norfolk State was not a better team than Missouri, they just scored more points over a 40 minute period. The cause behind these upsets is variability. It’s no shocking revelation that three point shots increase variability. The three point shot has long been known as a… Read more »

Bucknell and Turnovers

Posted by

There has been a lot of talk all year long about VCU’s havoc defense. The type of defense Shaka Smart’s team plays is exciting to watch and pretty effective. Currently, VCU is 30th in the country in AdjD.  Bucknell is a team with an equally unique defense, but not even close to the same media… Read more »

Charting 3-Point Rebounds

Posted by

Today my piece on rebounds off missed three pointers was published on kenpom.com. Ken and I charted several thousand missed three in an attempt to analyze the results. The post looks at where rebounds go depending on shot location. Also, the post then looks at how these shot and rebound locations affects offensive rebounding. Check… Read more »