Villanova’s Aggressive Defense

Posted by on November 24, 2014

Villanova enters tonight’s big test against VCU having under-performed to start the season. The Wildcats are 3-0 on the season, but have struggled in both of their games against Patriot League opponents (Bucknell and Lehigh). A look at Villanova’s points per possession to start the season would probably lead one to believe the offense has… Read more »


Efficiency, Usage, and Boise State

Posted by on November 11, 2014

The value of high volume and low efficiency players is a constant source of debate among basketball people. On the surface, many of these players appear to bring down an offense with either low shooting percentages or high turnover rates (or both). As a result, the inefficient shot taker is often viewed as selfish. However,… Read more »


Projecting Defense: Wisconsin

Posted by on November 3, 2014

Last week I wrote about the surprising lack of improvement made by experienced teams from year to year on the defensive side of the ball. When thinking about potential teams affected by this for the 2014-15 season, Wisconsin is the first that comes to mind. Of course the Badgers are going to be very good… Read more »


Projecting Defense: An Overview

Posted by on October 28, 2014

If you read the site last season, you might remember my look at North Dakota State and experience. To summarize, the Bison were one of the most experienced teams in the country last season and overwhelming favorites in the Summit League because of a strong defense in 2012-13. NDSU did in fact win the Summit… Read more »


Quick Hitters: Season Wrap-Up

Posted by on April 14, 2014

The following is the final installment of Quick Hitters for the 2013-14 season. You can check out the (relatively small) collection here.     1. Did free throws really cost Kentucky a championship?   The national championship game featured a very good free throw shooting team and a not so good free throw shooting team…. Read more »


Game Preview: Connecticut vs. Kentucky

Posted by on April 7, 2014

How do UK and UConn compare to past champions?   Tonight’s championship match-up is the first one without a team seeded three or better. However, seeding doesn’t quite tell the full story. In terms of adjusted efficiency, the winner of tonight’s game will become the second worst team (on Selection Sunday) to win a national… Read more »


The Michigan State Injuries

Posted by on March 28, 2014

Michigan State opened the preseason ranked number two in the country. They ended the season as the second most common champion in ESPN brackets. That isn’t exactly out of the ordinary, but consider MSU’s road to March. After a January 21st win vs. Indiana, the Spartans didn’t win two games in a row until the… Read more »


Visualizing the 2014 Sweet 16

Posted by on March 26, 2014

Even with Duke and Creighton getting knocked out last weekend, the tournament still features plenty of one dimensional teams. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Baylor are all strong on offense and (relatively) weak on defense. San Diego State is strong on defense and weak on offense.   Take a look at this Sweet 16 efficiency visulization (all… Read more »


NCAA Tournament Narratives: Defense Wins Championship

Posted by on March 19, 2014

The following is part of a series of NCAA tournament posts. You can find the intro to the series here.   Narrative: Defense wins championships.   In order to win a basketball game, you simply have to score more points than the other team. You do this through the combination of offense and defense. Some… Read more »


NCAA Tournament Narratives: March Momentum

Posted by on March 19, 2014

The following is part of a series of NCAA tournament posts. You can find the intro to the series here.   Narrative: Late season results are more important than early season.   Teams around the country are going to get “hot” every March. That’s just the nature of the single elimination conference tournament. One team… Read more »